HONG KONG -- It would be the biggest run on gold since the attempted   French invasion of Britain of 1797 that sent
prices through the roof.     The precious metal, long a safe haven for investors, yesterday was   predicted by a leading
analyst to quadruple within three years as buyers   seek shelter from prolonged turmoil in mainstream financial markets.  
   
According to Christopher Wood, chief strategist at the broker CLSA,   market ructions and a collapse of the dollar could  
send gold prices to   more than $3,400 an ounce within the next three years. Gold futures last   night hit a 28-year high
at $733 an ounce, but are more than $100 short   of the record. Mr Wood said that the sub-prime conflagration would
be   the catalyst for a wider breakdown in markets.     However, Wood predicted that investors would soon realise that
the   sub-prime crisis is simply the catalyst of a much wider breakdown, arguing   that it has been the "Archduke
Ferdinand assassination event" that   sparks a bigger calamity.     "This is not a sub-prime crisis. Sub-prime has merely
exposed the   bigger scam of structured finance; a scam that is about pretending that bad   credit is good credit," he
said.

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